How Is Juvenile Crime Trending?

Recent national news stories about “troubling” increases in juvenile crime are causing many to worry about our future safety. Although dramatic headlines often grab attention, it is important to remember that there has not been a systematic increase in any type of youth offending across all demographic groups.
Furthermore, even if such an increase were happening, it would still be very small compared to what we have seen in previous decades. We should also keep in mind that most types of violent crimes begin or are committed by individuals who have at least one other conviction for a similar offense.
This means that someone with a history of punching people was likely already facing criminal sanctions before committing another act of violence. In fact, over 90% of murderers will have done so twice before being convicted under the law![1]
The media tends to focus on cases where offenders clearly had no prior convictions and therefore feel compelled to describe them as “risky.” However, research consistently finds that once again, only a tiny proportion of young criminals come from families without much experience with legal institutions.[2]
We can thus place little stock in descriptions like these when making policy decisions.
It is also worth noting that while some jurisdictions report sharp rises in certain offenses, others show decreases. For example, Canada’s largest city saw its murder rate nearly triple between 2010 and 2017, but this drop was accompanied by a simultaneous rise in aggravated assault incidents.
Reasons for juvenile crime are complicated

There is no clear reason why juveniles commit crimes. Some studies suggest that genetics or early life experiences play a role in whether someone ends up being a criminal as an adult.
Researchers also have found that family environment, parenting styles, poverty, lack of education, poor health, and exposure to violence may be contributing factors.
It’s important to note here that researchers don’t agree on what causes childhood delinquency. Many experts believe it’s impossible to determine one factor that makes some kids more likely to become criminals than others.
What we can do, however, is identify risk and protective factors for adolescent offending and use this information to help prevent future delinquent behavior.
Protective factors are things like strong parent-child relationships, supportive groups at school, and avoiding risky behaviors. On the other hand, having conflicts with parents, experiencing bullying, and using drugs and alcohol are known as risk factors.
There are many factors contributing to juvenile crime

One of the major causes of increase in youth violence is exposure to media content that promotes it. Recent research has shown that one factor playing a significant role in fueling this exposure is the rise in use of technology.
There have been several studies conducted exploring connections between screen time, aggression, and delinquency. Some studies found no correlation while others did find a strong link.
One important factor researchers noticed was how often children are exposed to negative messages and images of violence caused by the media they watch. These include shows, movies, videos, and online games with animated characters.
These violent scenes may influence kids who are still developing their reasoning skills and self-control.
Another area where there have been findings related to increased aggression and delinquent behavior is through bullying. Kids who witness or participate in bullying may be influenced by it and add to the stigma surrounding those things.
What makes these experiences particularly harmful is that they can create social outcasts which only perpetuate the cycle. This also increases stress for individuals involved, making them more likely to engage in other types of risky behaviors.
Juvenile crime is correlated with other crimes

There are many theories about why people commit criminal acts. Some theorists believe that criminals are simply bad individuals who like to hurt or steal from others.
Other theories suggest that criminals are drawn to this behavior due to personal experiences with violence or theft.
Some theories emphasize how children may be influenced by their surroundings, such as when parents teach them poor moral values. Others say it’s because kids get lots of media messages telling them things like murder is okay.
Yet more theories focus on how society conditions people into thinking it’s normal for violent behaviors and thefts. For example, we see all around us stories of teenagers murdering their classmates and teachers over an argument or a misunderstanding.
There are even theories which blame technology for influencing young people in negative ways. Because of everything teens can access online, they’re exposed to content and ideas which encourage harmful behaviors.
So what actually causes juvenile delinquency? It may be all of these factors working together.
Juvenile crime is correlated with certain times of the day

Between 1973 and 2008, there was an 8% increase in total crimes per year. This includes all violent and non-violent offenses such as burglary, assault, robbery, etc.
However, during that time period, there were significant changes to how police report crimes. First, they had to adopt new technology, which allowed for faster reporting and analysis. Second, social conditions made it more difficult to remain peaceful around other people or create sustainable relationships.
This led to some false reports because perpetrators needed to act out their aggression somewhere. Third, cultural shifts influenced what types of behaviors are considered criminal so we could not apply general trends to this factor. For example, before 1990s, many countries did not consider child kidnapping illegal. So, if someone reported being kidnapped by a kid, there was no record of them doing something wrong!
Fourth, technological advances like GPS make it easier to track criminals. Fifth, our society becomes increasingly vigilant and aware of others’ actions, making it harder to hide your guilt. All these factors offset each other, making it hard to determine why juvenile crime is rising.
Juvenile crime is correlated with the weather

According to the National Criminal Justice Reference Service, “Crime tends to rise during periods of warm weather as people become more active and open outdoors.”
This relation between activity levels and criminal behavior has been observed across all climate zones and time frames – from days to months to years!
By analyzing past data sets, we are able to determine that there is an indirect correlation between temperature and juvenile delinquency. When it is cold outside, children are usually staying indoors longer which gives them more opportunities to be exposed to potential delinquent activities.
Furthermore, when temperatures increase, adults tend to go out for longer duration and lengthier journeys which can sometimes lead to them not returning home at night. This decreases their availability to monitor and/or help their child if they do encounter problems.
Juvenile crime is correlated with the season

Between October and April, there are typically more reports of juvenile delinquency due to the rise in school-aged children during this time frame.
However, from May through September, there are usually less reports of juveniles breaking rules or coming into contact with the law. This is because many students have graduated highschool and parents are often busy after work and/or retirement.
Juvenile crime is correlated with family structure

There are many theories about why juveniles commit crimes, but one of the major factors is their perception that society does not value them or treat them with respect.
This can be due to poor role models in their environment, as well as lack of resources for those in need. Sometimes parents fail to set good examples by acting inappropriately themselves.
When kids see adults doing illegal things, they may think this is how people behave and it’s okay to do the same thing. When children lose faith in the system that was supposed to protect them, it creates a sense of insecurity which contributes to more criminal activity.
Another theory is that some individuals who engage in illegal activities develop psychoses or personality disorders which make them want to hurt other people. These criminals then take extra precautions to prevent being caught because they feel justified in what they did.
While all of these reasons seem like very sad excuses for bad behavior, there are ways we can help young people avoid getting involved in criminality. First, we must acknowledge that childhood poverty often leads to delinquent behaviors.
Juvenile crime is correlated with internet use

Recent studies have shown that there are clear links between access to the internet, online chat rooms, and smartphone apps and juvenile delinquency.
Researchers conducted in-depth interviews with over one hundred young people aged 16–25 about their experiences of engaging in delinquent acts and other issues such as drug use. They also surveyed them about how much time they spent using various forms of technology and whether this changed due to these conversations.
The researchers found that when teens spend more time on social media sites like Facebook or YouTube, it can give them an excuse for poor behavior. Because you can upload anything and say anything, it may promote risky behaviors. For example, some may find it easy to get into arguments or quarrels which could lead to bullying or harassment.
It can also make it easier to seek out negative information about adults and institutions, which could influence someone’s perception of life. Technology gives children less opportunities to learn self-control and discipline because it is accessible at any time and anywhere.
Furthermore, research has linked screen usage with lower academic achievement and higher rates of depression and anxiety.